• 3 Posts
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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: June 9th, 2023

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  • Did it though? EFF says that the number of impressions their content received is why they left:

    Those [2018] tweets garnered somewhere between 50 and 100 million impressions per month.

    Then

    Last year, our 1,500 posts earned roughly 13 million impressions for the entire year. To put it bluntly, an X post today receives less than 3% of the views a single tweet delivered seven years ago.

    But, I wonder what the real numbers actually are. Do we think Elon is honestly reporting real numbers to people? And, of the “impressions” that are real, how many of those are actually from bots rather than actual human users?

    IMO, one of the biggest tricks Elon has managed to pull with Twitter is to convince celebrities and brands that it’s still a thriving site full of other people, leading to them sticking around because supposedly no other site gets as much traffic.





  • President Camacho was actually a great president. He didn’t seem to be abusing the office for any kind of personal gain. He was an inspiring public speaker. He listened to the voters, he tried to find the smartest person and appoint him so that he’d solve the problems facing the USA, he let the genius try out his solution even though it seemed absurd, and only ordered him to be executed when it only made the situation worse. Also, once the problems were solved, he left office without any complaints.

    I watched it again recently, and the thing that really stood out for me was Camacho’s speeches compared to Trump’s. I think if they re-made Idiocracy today, they’d have to make Camacho sound a lot more stupid in those speeches. Trump has lowered the bar so much.


  • If Trump is still in charge when the bubble pops, he’ll do everything he can to bail them out. Altman knows how to flatter people, and he’s doing that constantly with Trump. A significant part of Trump’s base is silicon valley techbros who will lose their shirts if the bubble collapses. They had enough sway to get their guy installed as the VP. Getting a bailout will be easy for them. If they get poor, they won’t be able to fund the MAGA movement.

    Even if Trump isn’t in charge anymore. Businesses that have fired a lot of employees and replaced what they did with LLM slop will say their businesses will be ruined if the bubble suddenly pops, so they’ll frame it as the economy collapsing if the LLM bubble is allowed to pop. Not to mention they’ll claim it’s a national security matter because if American LLMs disappear the only ones left will be Chinese ones, and that would be a threat to national security. The fact that the military is extensively using LLMs in their bombing of Iran shows how integrated they now are into the way the military does things, and you can’t ask the military to just go back to how things were done 5 years ago!

    I expect that when the LLM bubble starts to pop, there will be enormous bailouts from the government, adding tens of trillions to the US debt. That’s a long-term thing and will be someone else’s problem.



  • It’s a messy situation where nobody other than the two people involved will ever know the truth.

    She claims it happened between 1997 and 2006 and she filed the lawsuit 19 years later in 2025. There won’t be any evidence remaining other than what she claims to remember. He won’t be able to clear his name by providing alibis for something that happened 20-30 years ago. Her family said it didn’t happen and that she has mental health issues. She says she has mental health issues due to the abuse. Her ultra-rich brother had been financially supporting her and the claims happened after she asked for more and he refused. The family is siding with Sam, but Sam is also an insanely wealthy and powerful man who is known to lie constantly, so maybe their reason for siding with him isn’t because they’re absolutely sure he’s right. And then there’s the fact that he’s gay, but sexual abuse isn’t necessarily about sexual desire.

    I don’t think it’s reasonable to say he definitely raped her. OTOH, it’s also not possible to say he’s definitely being falsely accused. It’s just a shitty situation.





  • For what it’s worth, successfully removing Trump using the 25th amendment would be much harder than impeaching him and removing him.

    Impeachment and removal requires only a majority in the house, then a 2/3rds majority in the senate. That 2/3rds is almost impossible unless there are huge defections from the MAGA side.

    The 25th requires first that Vance and the majority of Trump’s cabinet declare that he’s unfit. That’s going to be a massive hurdle already because he’s packed his cabinet with people who are loyal above anything else, including competence. If you managed that, all it would take for Trump to resume being president was that he declared he was capable of resuming the job. He’d be tweeting that out within the hour. To override that would require a 2/3rds vote in both the house and the senate. So all the barriers that exist to impeachment and more.

    The 25th was designed for a case when the president was dead or dying. It’s also handy in cases where the president has to undergo surgery and will be medically sedated for a while. It was never designed to take power away from a madman, at least not from one who was sane enough to resist in any way.





  • It’s more the printer companies that are evil.

    Printers from the 90s and early 2000s were still pretty good. They had problems with paper jams, but that’s not really surprising when you’re moving a physical object around like that. The models designed for office use were really sturdy and built to handle a work environment that was still mostly based around paper. So, they expected to be used heavily.

    Since then, they’ve cheaped out on a lot of the components because printing is much less common so they’re not expected to handle as much heavy work. But, more importantly, the DMCA has allowed manufacturers to load them up with DRM that refuses to use any ink that isn’t sold by the printer manufacturer.


  • This is dumb. But, there’s a hint of an interesting idea in there. If LLMs sample all human text and produce statistical averages from it, there’s a sense in which they contain a statistically average opinion.

    It’s basically like how if you use Google to search for “how many calories are there in a” it will suggest the next word. The word it suggests is the statistically average way to finish that sentence. That also means it’s the food item for which people most want to know the calories. At least, it’s the item they most type into a Google search box. It’s just matching text patterns, but it reveals something about people that say a fast food company might find useful.

    If you scale up the population of humanity to 8 trillion people and have thousands of years of data in these LLMs, maybe you actually do get useful insights about what people care about. And, maybe that’s how you get psychohistory from Asimov’s foundation series.


  • IMO if a door has an electronic lock and normally opens with a button (which is dumb), the backup system has to be something you can use if you’re on fire and have a concussion after a crash.

    Apparently Audis have an electric lock but still use a regular latch instead of a button. In an emergency you can open the door by just pulling harder on that door release latch. In a Fisker you can do it by pulling on the handle twice. In a Ford Mustang if you yank hard on the door handle it acts as a release. These are all things I can see someone doing in an emergency without thinking.