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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: July 11th, 2024

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  • But Asia, Africa and possibly South America will switch from European to cheaper Chinese imports.

    China is also a big exporter of lower end manufacturing products like clothes, furniture, toys and so forth. Europe and the US might not care about that, but countries with cheap workers, might well shut China out to produce those locally. There are also a lot of countries especially in Asia and South America on a similar economic level to China. Brazil, Thailand or Malaysia come to mind. They are all able to produce some more advanced products like cars or electronics. Again shutting out China makes some sense for them.







  • Have you read the first article?

    Quote by you:

    who was it again who launched a war THEY KNEW would consume all of Europe’s ballistic missile interceptors?

    From the first article:

    Germany has donated about one-third of its Patriot systems to Ukraine,

    Oh and also from the article:

    Israel is a unique case in the region but faces similar constraints. Its indigenous missile defense capabilities—including Arrow 3, Arrow 2, and David’s Sling—give it options that other US partners in the region do not have.

    In other words Israel can build missile interceptors.

    And then you even quote the article:

    If US intelligence assessments are right that Putin plans to “test NATO resolve” in the coming years, then the replenishment clock matters on both sides

    In other words, being able to access more interceptors is a key thing for European NATO members. Israel can make more of those.

    Oh and this is from the US, who stopped Patriot missile sales to Ukraine BEFORE the war against Iran for months, because Zelensky did not war a suit. I would not be surprised if US stockpiles do not matter in a war at all, because the US is unwilling to sell them to Europe. That obviously would make Israel an even more important option.


  • Actually that is one of the best arguments for selling arms to Israel. Germany bought Arrow from them, which is perfect against Russian longer range missiles. Nobody in Europe produces a system with similar capabilities and the only alternatives to that are being sold by the US, Russia and China.

    As for Patriot interceptors, those are used by the US and Arab countries. Israel has a system called Davids Sling, which has similar capabilities. They actually sold that to Finland and Greece. Currently Volkswagen is in talks with Israel to produce parts of that in Germany. That would be a useful factory to have in case of a war with Russia.

    Also no European country has send missile interceptors to Israel or any country in the region. The most are shooting down some Iranian drones attacking Cyprus, but that is to be expected.





  • Russia was at half of the EUs gas supply and it was also mostly pipeline gas. For LNG it is possible to buy from other suppliers. Unless the US cuts all LNG exports, that is probably going to be a matter of paying enough.

    Then the goal of the EU is to cut gas consumption. This is happening as gas boilers are replaced by heat pumps and gas power plants by wind, solar and batteries. It will take years to be really felt, but we see some of it. The key part here is that it is much cheaper to use a pipeline than LNG to transport gas. That obviously hits all LNG, but the US is the largest supplier.