• Blurntout@lemmy.ca
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    11 days ago

    Really hoping I’m wrong about Gen X retirement en masse single handily collapsing the stock exchange causing the worst financial crisis to date.

    I haven’t peeped any numbers lately but the aging work force and passive investments into etf portfolios with nowhere near the cash reserves to cover the draw down once the generation of 6-10 children become dependent on the 1-3 children generation lol

    Basically a race between the ai bubble and the silver tsunami at this point pain all around

    • August27th@lemmy.ca
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      11 days ago

      Pretty sure if it’s true that the 1% own 80% of the stock market, that’s a far bigger problem. Gen X is just a drop in the bucket by comparison.

      • Blurntout@lemmy.ca
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        11 days ago

        More like the publicly traded mega corps depend on people / the market wanting to buy their stock to inflate the value of their shares with speculative claims about their products cough artificial intelligence so they can leverage their ownership of that asset.

        Yeah the means of production being owned by the billionaires is a problem but it isn’t what’s going to gut people’s retirement funds lol

    • banause@feddit.org
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      11 days ago

      You shouldn’t forget that you can not map generations to the real world that easily. It is not one year and BOOM gen x is retired. It’s an ever ongoing gradual change.

      • Blurntout@lemmy.ca
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        11 days ago

        We’ve been living the gradual creep for years it’s been staved off my policy that kicks the can down the road push retirement ages further out and incentivizing delaying benefits as long as possible or getting penalized for early retirement.

        It doesn’t have to happen “all at once” as soon as market participation is in net divestment mode fund manager’s like Blackrock and vanguard who’s passive etf strategy is give us money = buy stock they will be forced to divest to cover sell orders causing a cascade

          • Blurntout@lemmy.ca
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            11 days ago

            Sorry you misunderstood the importance of generation retires for households that had many more children become financial burden on following households that had much fewer children it doesn’t math lol

    • OctopusNemeses@lemmy.world
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      11 days ago

      I’ve had similar suspicions. The golden rule that once something becomes popular, it turns to shit. For the prior generations it was exhausting social systems. For the current generations it’s stock market based funds.

      I’m thinking probably if you weren’t heavily invested into this before about 2015-2020 era, then you’re probably going to be late to benefit from it before whatever disasters await. More definitely the whole memestock era was a high water mark.

      Also as the first reply said, it’s not rigidly defined generations. Gen-X is a relatively small generation. The first half of millennials are probably just as big if not more invested into stocks. Public discourse has pinned millennials as close to gen-z and memory holed that the bulk of millennials are 40 give or take a few years. The difference between the two halves is by a wide margin.

      Gen-X is only a few years away from drawing from their investments and becoming net spenders. Many of them would already be doing so. The ones who retired early.

      • Blurntout@lemmy.ca
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        10 days ago

        Yeah it was a weird anchor to mention the generation specifically the important information is the aging work force in advanced economies and the lack of elasticity in the market if you’re interested on a much more professional opinion on the matter

        https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/302

        Michael green is far more financially literate than I