The average life expectancy for a Russian soldier in Ukraine is between 20-30 minutes, CIA director John Ratcliffe said. Speaking at a defense summit in Pennsylvania, he attributed the deadly conditions for Vladimir Putin’s forces to Ukraine’s combat drones equipped with AI. “What I would say is, our intelligence is consistent with some of the open-source reporting you may have seen in Ukraine,” Ratcliffe said. “So the average life expectancy of a Russian recruit, right now, arriving on the battlefield in Ukraine, is estimated to be between 20 and 30 minutes.” “And that’s because AI-powered drones have gotten to be such specialized, low-cost killing machines. And it’s why we’re now four and a half years into that conflict,” Ratcliffe added. Ukraine said this month that Russia has lost about 1.4 million soldiers since the beginning of its full-scale invasion, with over 1,000 of the Kremlin’s troops killed or wounded almost every day. In May, Ukraine’s defense ministry said it was killing roughly 200 Russian soldiers for every kilometer of territory that Moscow claimed.
No, but you’d expect that every 30 years the number of deaths is the same as the world population.
I did point out this does not work unless averages over longer periods of time. 6 months is in my opinion quite long when compared to 30 minutes.
If you have any actual critique of the maths I’m showing, please bring it up and we may discuss that.
Only if population size is stable, births equal deaths, age distribution is stable and so on. Otherwise it doesn’t really add up. The point is: Average doesn’t mean their entire army is gone in 30 minutes. Some make it 2 minutes, others may survive for several months.
Yes, I do understand statistics. Do you?
Sure, things will likely drift a little bit away from the average. Moreover the average is just an estimate.
However, assuming the average as correct and the population more or less stable that is the number you get. Let’s add a 20% margins for variable effects, that is still 70 million deaths.